Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Heider SV		Drochtersen Assel

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.42
	6.8	4.5	1.35
	6.2	4.7	1.4
	6.59	4.54	1.44
	6.95	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (6)	4.6 ↑ (4.2)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heider SV
14.4%

Draw
20%

Drochtersen Assel
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

22.5%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.6%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heider SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Drochtersen Assel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heider SV than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drochtersen Assel than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drochtersen Assel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heider SV - Drochtersen Assel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North (Promotion Group)).

Heider SV is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Drochtersen/Assel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Drochtersen/Assel is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Heider SV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Heider SV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heider SV
German Regionalliga North
30.10.21	Phönix Lübeck - Heider SV	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Holstein Kiel II - Heider SV	3:0 ✺
16.10.21	Heider SV - Teutonia Ottensen	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Heider SV - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Hamburger II - Heider SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTTL
- SV Drochtersen Assel
German Regionalliga North
31.10.21	Teutonia Ottensen - Drochtersen Assel	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	Eintracht Norderstedt - Drochtersen Assel	0:0 ✺
15.10.21	Drochtersen Assel - Hamburger II	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Drochtersen Assel - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
01.10.21	SC Weiche-08 - Drochtersen Assel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.08.21	Drochtersen Assel - Heider SV	2:1
20.09.20	Drochtersen Assel - Heider SV	3:0
21.02.20	Drochtersen Assel - Heider SV	1:0
23.08.19	Heider SV - Drochtersen Assel	1:2

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