Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 14

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday


	Heimstetten		Dachau

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.86	3.61	3.14
	1.8	3.8	3.2
	1.78	3.88	3.54
	1.83	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	3.76 ↓ (4.01)	3.38 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heimstetten
49.4%

Draw
23.9%

Dachau
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heimstetten's form might have worsened.

Dachau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dachau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heimstetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dachau than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dachau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Heimstetten - Dachau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Heimstetten will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dachau will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 2.

Recent matches Heimstetten is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dachau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Heimstetten is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Heimstetten won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Heimstetten won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Heimstetten
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
07.10.23	Landsberg - Heimstetten	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Gundelfingen - Heimstetten	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Heimstetten - Pipinsried	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	TSV Kottern - Heimstetten	1:1 ✺
13.09.23	Heimstetten - 1860 München II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTW
- TSV 1865 Dachau
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
07.10.23	Dachau - Pipinsried	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Dachau - Ismaning	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Garching - Dachau	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Dachau - Sonthofen	1:3 ✺
09.09.23	Kirchanschöring - Dachau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.02.19	Heimstetten - Dachau	4:0
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
31.03.18	Dachau - Heimstetten	1:0
15.09.17	Heimstetten - Dachau	1:0
11.03.17	Heimstetten - Dachau	2:2
13.08.16	Dachau - Heimstetten	3:1
19.03.16	Dachau - Heimstetten	1:2
21.08.15	Heimstetten - Dachau	2:3

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