Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - VV - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum (Heist-Op-Den-Berg)


	Heist		Knokke

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.62
	4.4	3.85	1.63
	4.09	4.23	1.69
	4.05	4.13	1.67	Watch
	4.56	3.88	1.61
	4.4	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (5.78)	3.94 ↓ (4.73)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heist
21.2%

Draw
23.2%

Knokke
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

19.2%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

18.9%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heist's performance.

Knokke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Knokke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heist than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heist that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Knokke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heist - Knokke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Colman J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Braem S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.11.24	Royal Antwerp 2 - Heist	5:0 ✺
23.11.24	Heist - Ninove	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Merelbeke - Heist	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Heist - Belisia Bilzen	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Heist - Cappellen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1 VV
01.12.24	Knokke - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hoogstraten - Knokke	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Knokke - Belisia Bilzen	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Thes Sport - Knokke	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Knokke - Tienen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
02.03.24	Heist - Knokke	2:2
24.09.23	Knokke - Heist	2:1
18.03.23	Heist - Knokke	2:0
16.10.22	Knokke - Heist	4:1
19.12.21	Knokke - Heist	1:3
17.03.19	Knokke - Heist	0:2
24.11.18	Heist - Knokke	0:3

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