Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Helges		Gute

	1	X	2
	3.90	4.00	1.63
	3.95	4.15	1.65
	3.73	4.13	1.65
	3.96	4.35	1.65	Watch
	3.65	3.9	1.61
	4.05	4.1	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)	4.11 ↑ (4)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helges
23.2%

Draw
21.9%

Gute
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.9%

22%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21.3%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gute has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helges than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gute than the current prediction. (+4%)

Helges - Gute Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Hodin E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 0, Fru F. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Hodin E. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Mostafa M. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 7th).

Recent results have been tough for Helges (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Gute has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gute carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Helges has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gute	26	9	6	11	40:40	0	33
14	Helges	26	2	4	20	22:72	-50	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helges IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
20.09.26	Viggbyholm - Helges	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lidingö - Helges	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Helges - Täby	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kungsängen - Helges	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Helges - Falu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTTL
- FC Gute
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
19.09.26	Gute - Enskede	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Gute - Viggbyholm	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	IK Franke - Gute	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gute - Lidingö	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Korsnäs - Gute	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
30.05.26	Gute - Helges	1:0

Helges - Gute