Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Herd		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.00	5.00
	1.36	5.00	5.30
	1.37	5.06	4.51
	1.52	5.06	4.31	Watch
	1.35	5.00	4.45
	1.40	5.72	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	5.14 ↓ (5.5)	4.8 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Herd
64%

Draw
17.4%

Orkla FK
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

16.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

15.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Orkla FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herd than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Herd - Orkla FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Saether M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Marthinussen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 1, Saether M. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Simonsen P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Herd is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Herd	22	8	5	9	47:44	3	29
13	Orkla	22	5	5	12	40:62	-22	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Herd
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
05.09.26	Herd - Melhus	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	NTNUI - Herd	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Herd - Ranheim 2	9:0 ✺
31.07.26	Herd - Volda	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Melhus - Herd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
05.09.26	Orkla FK - NTNUI	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Ranheim 2 - Orkla FK	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Orkla FK - Spjelkavik	2:5 ✺
03.08.26	Orkla FK - Rosenborg II	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Aalesunds 2 - Orkla FK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL

Upcoming Matches