Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Hestrafors		Kongahälla

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.20	4.10
	1.58	4.25	4.3
	1.51	4.23	4.42
	1.55	4.57	4.51	Watch
	1.47	4.1	4.3
	1.48	4.33	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)	4.28 ↑ (3.8)	4.43 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hestrafors
58.8%

Draw
21%

Kongahälla
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

20.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hestrafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hestrafors's performance.

Kongahälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongahälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongahälla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Hestrafors - Kongahälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12th in the Division 2 ~ Vu00e4stra Gu00f6taland (Relegation)).

Hestrafors arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Kongahälla have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kongahälla may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hestrafors carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hestrafors in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hestrafors has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hestrafors	24	12	5	7	48:39	9	41
11	Kongahalla	24	7	6	11	35:45	-10	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
11.09.26	Böljan - Hestrafors	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hestrafors - Lindome	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hestrafors - Torslanda	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dalstorps - Hestrafors	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Hestrafors - Qviding	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTW
- IK Kongahälla
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
12.09.26	Kongahälla - Astrio	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Landvetter - Kongahälla	3:4 ✺
28.08.26	Kongahälla - Galtabäcks	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Åstorps - Kongahälla	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kongahälla - Västra Frölunda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
17.06.26	Kongahälla - Hestrafors	0:3

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