Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 28

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Highbury		Midlands Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.45
	2.13	2.92	3.58
	2.15	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.5
	2.1	2.9	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.95)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	3.54 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Highbury
42.8%

Draw
31.6%

Midlands Wanderers
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

31.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

32.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Highbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Highbury's performance.

Midlands Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Midlands Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highbury than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Highbury that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midlands Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midlands Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Highbury - Midlands Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Highbury has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Midlands is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Midlands has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Highbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Highbury	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10
12	Midlands Wanderers	5	1	1	3	3:4	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Highbury - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Highbury FC
South African First Division
25.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Highbury	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Casric Stars - Highbury	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Highbury - Leicesterford City	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Highbury - Kruger United	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	University of Pretoria - Highbury	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLW
- Midlands Wanderers
South African First Division
26.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Venda	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Upington City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kruger United - Midlands Wanderers	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Casric Stars	3:3 ✺
07.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Baroka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
20.09.25	Midlands Wanderers - Highbury	0:1

Highbury - Midlands Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide