Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERSACHSEN - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Hildesheim		Kickers Emden

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.75
	2.13	3.8	2.77
	2.15	3.84	2.89
	2.12	3.75	2.75
	2.15	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	3.78 ↓ (4)	2.78 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hildesheim
42.8%

Draw
24.3%

Kickers Emden
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

21.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hildesheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Kickers Emden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kickers Emden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hildesheim than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Emden than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kickers Emden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 3).

Hildesheim is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Emden is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Emden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Emden have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hildesheim won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hildesheim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfV 06 Hildesheim
German Oberliga Niedersachsen
28.10.23	Eilvese - Hildesheim	0:3 ✺
22.10.23	Hildesheim - Heeslinger	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Lupo Martini Wolfsburg - Hildesheim	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Schöningen - Hildesheim	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Hildesheim - Arminia Hannover	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWT
- Kickers Emden
German Oberliga Niedersachsen
28.10.23	Kickers Emden - Germania Egestorf Langreder	1:1 ✺
13.10.23	Kickers Emden - VfL Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Eilvese - Kickers Emden	0:4 ✺
23.09.23	Kickers Emden - Heeslinger	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Kickers Emden - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
19.03.23	Hildesheim - Kickers Emden	4:2
01.11.22	Kickers Emden - Hildesheim	0:0
German Oberliga Niedersachsen
14.09.19	Kickers Emden - Hildesheim	1:2

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