Match Info

Druha Liga - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Yunist Stadium (Horisni Plavni)


	Hirnyk-Sport		Trostianets

	1	X	2
	5.31	4.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↓ (5.32)	4.56 (4.56)	1.45 (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hirnyk-Sport
17.2%

Draw
20%

Trostianets
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

20%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

16.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hirnyk-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Trostianets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trostianets than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trostianets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Cheglov M. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Popovych K. ⚽,

Preview

Hirnyk-Sport has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trostianets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hirnyk-Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trostianets is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hirnyk-Sport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hirnyk-Sport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Druha Liga
06.05.26	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Hirnyk-Sport	4:0 ✺
01.05.26	Hirnyk-Sport - Penuel	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa 2 - Hirnyk-Sport	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Rebel Kyiv - Hirnyk-Sport	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hirnyk-Sport - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- FC Trostianets
Ukrainian Druha Liga
17.05.26	Trostianets - Chornomorets Odesa 2	3:0 ✺
13.05.26	Trostianets - Kolos Kovalivka 2	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Trostianets - Rebel Kyiv	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Trostianets	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rebel Kyiv - Trostianets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Trostianets	1:0 penalties
Ukrainian Druha Liga
27.07.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Trostianets	0:3
11.05.25	Trostianets - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0
28.09.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Trostianets	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
15.08.23	Trostianets - Hirnyk-Sport	1:2

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