Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - VÄSTRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 12

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Hittarp		Onsala

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.49
	3.65	3.8	1.67
	4.71	4.37	1.55
	5	3.8	1.5
	4.85	4.5	1.52
	5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.5)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hittarp
19.5%

Draw
21.6%

Onsala
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hittarp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hittarp's form might have worsened.

Onsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Onsala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hittarp than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Onsala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Västra Götaland (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Hittarp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Onsala is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hittarp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Onsala is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hittarp won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hittarp won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hittarps IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
08.06.23	Laholms - Hittarp	4:0 ✺
04.06.23	Hittarp - Husqvarna	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Sävedalen - Hittarp	4:4 ✺
20.05.23	Hittarp - Nässjö	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Lindome - Hittarp	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWL
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
10.06.23	Onsala - Landvetter	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Onsala - Laholms	4:1 ✺
27.05.23	Husqvarna - Onsala	3:2 ✺
19.05.23	Onsala - Sävedalen	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Nässjö - Onsala	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
15.10.22	Onsala - Hittarp	6:1
05.06.22	Hittarp - Onsala	3:0
06.07.19	Hittarp - Onsala	2:4
07.04.19	Onsala - Hittarp	1:2

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