The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 24.3%
Draw 21.4%
Hà Nội FC 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
17.8%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
17.2%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Hà Nội FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoang Anh Gia Lai than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hà Nội FC than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Hà Nội FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Tran Trung Kien (G) 5. Dinh Q. K. 23. Hoang V. N. 33. Jairo Rodrigues (C) 29. Junior 17. Luong Thanh Ngoc Lam 10. Marciel 28. Nguyen Huu Anh Tai 15. Nguyen Van Trieu 6. Tran Thanh Son 38. Vo P. B.
1. Quan V. C. (G) 35. Adriel 99. Daniel Passira 8. Dau Van Toan 88. Do Hung Dung (C) 77. Fisher D. 11. Hen Do Hoang 22. Nguyen Cong Nhat 14. Nguyen H. L. 16. Nguyen Thanh Chung 7. Pham X. M.
Substitutes
20. Cao H. M. 99. Dinh P. (G) 9. Gabriel Conceicao 77. Ha R. 19. Nguyen D. T. 12. Nguyen Minh Tam 7. Nguyen Thanh Nhan 16. Tran G. B. 11. Vo Dinh Lam
92. Nguyen Ha A. T. 10. Nguyen Van Quyet 66. Pham D. H. (G) 9. Pham Tuan Hai 33. Tiep A. 25. Tu L. X. 67. Van Thang T. 21. Vu D. H. 68. Vu T. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Marciel 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Hen Do Hoang ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Nguyen Cong Nhat 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Nguyen Thanh Chung (Own goal),
64', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Tran G. B. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Gabriel Conceicao ⚽,
90+2', Gabriel Conceicao 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoang Anh Gia Lai won 2.
In recent matches, Hoang Anh Gia Lai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hà Nội is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hà Nội may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hà Nội is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoang Anh Gia Lai won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hoang Anh Gia Lai won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Hanoi FC
2
0
0
2
2:7
-5
0
13
Gia Lai
2
0
0
2
1:7
-6
0
Last Results with these Odds
Hoang Anh Gia Lai - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.05%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Hà Nội FC - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.18%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.