The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 33.3%
Draw 28.2%
Song Lam Nghe An 38.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.5%
29.6%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
29.8%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Song Lam Nghe An has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoang Anh Gia Lai than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Song Lam Nghe An than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Song Lam Nghe An Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Tran Trung Kien (G) 3. Ha Chau Phi 23. Hoang V. N. (C) 5. Julio Cesar 10. Luann 12. Nguyen Minh Tam 4. Nguyen Quoc Quang Huy 7. Nguyen Thanh Nhan 33. Robson Reis 16. Tran G. B. 6. Tran Thanh Son
1. Cao Van Binh (G) 83. Bruno Paraiba 12. Bui T. D. 32. Ho Khac Ngoc (C) 33. Jairo Rodrigues 15. Le N. H. 20. Le Van Quy 77. Luizao 5. Onoja J. 19. Phan B. Q. 87. Tran A.
Substitutes
20. Cao H. M. 86. Dung Quang Vinh 1. Huynh Tran B. (G) 22. Nay Di Dan 19. Nguyen D. T. 28. Nguyen Huu Anh Tai 15. Nguyen Van Trieu 27. Phan Nhat Thanh Long 8. Vo Dinh Lam
29. Dang Q. T. 55. Hoang V. K. 7. Ho V. C. 22. Ngo Van Bac 25. Nguyen B. N. (G) 16. Nguyen Quang V. 6. Phan V. T. 21. Phan Xuan Dai 10. Tran P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Jairo Rodrigues ⚽,
76', 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 12th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoang Anh Gia Lai won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Hoang Anh Gia Lai (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Song Lam Nghe An shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hoang Anh Gia Lai has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:29 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hoang Anh Gia Lai against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Song Lam Nghe An
5
3
2
0
10:4
6
11
13
Gia Lai
5
1
0
4
7:13
-6
3
Last Results with these Odds
Hoang Anh Gia Lai - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.