Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 33

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion U Cervenych domku (Hodonin)


	Hodonín		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.4	2.22
	2.72	3.68	2.21
	2.89	3.62	2.13
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	2.95	3.36	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.58)	3.43 ↓ (3.55)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hodonín
31.9%

Draw
26.4%

Fotbal Třinec
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

25.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hodonín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hodonín than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (-3%)

Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Chropovsky M. (G) 14. Bohun P. 9. Dolnik M. 3. Dressler P. (C) 11. Dunda A. 2. Durek P. 17. Grabl F. 25. Necas M. 12. Novotny M. 13. Sedlak M. 7. Svantner P.	1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 20. Kowalczyk T. 23. Krakovcik M. 21. Machuca O. 24. Omasta T. 10. Samiec M.
Substitutes
6. Brecka S. 18. Fila A. 19. Holek M. 10. Lamacek M. 22. Langer T. 1. Odraska T. (G) 4. Vincour T.	22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 7. Nguyen A. 29. Skwarczek M. 15. Vlachovsky M. 11. Zdrazil L. 12. Zinhasovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kowalczyk T. ⚽,
28', Svantner P. 🟨,
33', Brak V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dedic R. ↓, Zdrazil L. ↑,
59', Novotny M. ↓, Fila A. ↑,
59', Sedlak M. ↓, Langer T. ↑,
64', Samiec M. 🟨,
66', Machuca O. ↓, Zinhasovic N. ↑,
69', Dunda A. 🟨,
70', Grabl F. ↓, Holek M. ↑,
82', Samiec M. ↓, Agbo C. ↑,
83', Charles S. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
87', Dadak L. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Dressler P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ChNL).

Hodonín has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Třinec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hodonín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hodonín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hodonín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14:13	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Hodonín
Czech MSFL
25.04.26	Hodonín - Zbrojovka Brno B	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Start Brno - Hodonín	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Hranice - Hodonín	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hodonín - Karviná B	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Hlučín - Hodonín	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
25.04.26	Fotbal Třinec - Vsetín	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Zbrojovka Brno B - Fotbal Třinec	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Fotbal Třinec - Hranice	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Karviná B - Fotbal Třinec	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Fotbal Třinec - Hlučín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
15.11.25	Fotbal Třinec - Hodonín	2:0
30.04.25	Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4
16.11.24	Fotbal Třinec - Hodonín	1:2
09.03.24	Hodonín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4
05.08.23	Fotbal Třinec - Hodonín	1:1

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