Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion U Cervenych domku (Hodonin)


	Hodonín		Frýdek-Místek

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.9	3.6
	1.65	4.14	4.05	Watch
	1.7	3.92	3.92
	1.63	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	3.99 ↓ (4.07)	3.89 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hodonín
54.1%

Draw
22.7%

Frýdek-Místek
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hodonín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hodonín than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-2%)

Hodonín - Frýdek Místek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Odraska T. (G) 11. Dunda A. 18. Fila A. 19. Holek M. 16. Jambor D. 25. Necas M. 12. Novotny M. 8. Pernica L. 13. Sedlak M. 7. Svantner P. (C) 4. Vincour T.	29. Lasak K. (G) 15. Bialek D. (C) 17. Bielan M. 21. Foltyn M. 20. Gorcica A. 19. Hykel T. 8. Kedron D. 14. Nemec D. 13. Obuch M. 16. Pak V. 3. Sami F.
Substitutes
10. Absolon N. 6. Brecka S. 20. Cermak D. (G) 3. Dressler P. 2. Durek P. 22. Langer T. 17. Rihak A.	12. Dluhos D. 10. Heller J. 11. Kohut T. 6. Tomecek L. 1. Tomek J. (G) 18. Velicka B. 2. Volny F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Necas M. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Hykel T. ⚽,
45+1', Sami F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Necas M. ⚽,
53', Sami F. 🟨,
55', Obuch M. 🟨,
62', Hykel T. ↓, Heller J. ↑,
64', Jambor D. ↓, Absolon N. ↑,
71', Kedron D. ↓, Velicka B. ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', Nemec D. ↓, Tomecek L. ↑,
81', Fila A. 🟨,
83', Sedlak M. ↓, Langer T. ↑,
84', Vincour T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hodonín won 1.

Hodonín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Frýdek-Místek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Frýdek-Místek has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hodonín is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hodonín will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hodonín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hodonín won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Hodonín
Czech MSFL
19.10.25	Uničov - Hodonín	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Hodonín - Polanka nad Odrou	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Hodonín	1:5 ✺
27.09.25	Hodonín - Vsetín	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zbrojovka Brno B - Hodonín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL
- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech MSFL
18.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Blansko - Frýdek-Místek	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Polanka nad Odrou	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
26.03.25	Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek	1:2
11.08.24	Frýdek-Místek - Hodonín	3:0
23.03.24	Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek	1:1
18.08.23	Frýdek-Místek - Hodonín	0:1
13.05.23	Frýdek-Místek - Hodonín	1:1
15.10.22	Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek	1:1
18.05.19	Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek	0:1

Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide