Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hogar Alcarreño		Torrijos

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Hogar Alcarreño
17.7%

Draw
23.9%

Torrijos
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.4%

25.6%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

20.3%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hogar Alcarreño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Torrijos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hogar Alcarreño than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrijos than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torrijos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Hogar Alcarreño has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torrijos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Torrijos is a favorite.

Recent matches Torrijos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Hogar Alcarreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Quintanar del Rey	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Albacete B - Hogar Alcarreño	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Villarrobledo	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Tarancón - Hogar Alcarreño	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Huracán Balazote	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Torrijos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.11.21	Torrijos - Albacete B	3:2 ✺
31.10.21	Villarrobledo - Torrijos	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Torrijos - Tarancón	5:0 ✺
17.10.21	Huracán Balazote - Torrijos	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Torrijos - San Clemente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Hogar Alcarreño - Torrijos