Match Info

3rd Division - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		Brønshøj BK

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.5	3.95	5.15
	1.5	4.17	5.49
	1.48	4.05	5.69
	1.41	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	4.03 ↑ (3.85)	5.42 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
60.8%

Draw
22.4%

Brønshøj BK
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holbæk's performance.

Brønshøj BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brønshøj BK than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Holbæk - Brønshøj BK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 2.

Holbæk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brønshøj has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brønshøj may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Holbæk is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Holbæk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
09.08.25	Nykøbing - Holbæk	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Holbæk - Lyseng	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Holbæk - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
17.07.25	Hellerup - Holbæk	2:3 ✺
16.07.25	Fremad Amager - Holbæk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LWLWW
- Brønshøj BK
Danish 3 Division
09.08.25	Brønshøj BK - Hørsholm-Usserød	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.25	Allerød - Brønshøj BK	2:4 ET ✺
Danish 3 Division
02.08.25	Vejgaard - Brønshøj BK	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Brønshøj BK - AB Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Helsingør - Brønshøj BK	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
09.06.25	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	2:0
14.05.25	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	2:2
22.03.25	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	1:1
11.08.24	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	2:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
12.10.19	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	0:0
04.08.19	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	1:1
25.09.16	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	1:2

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