Match Info

3rd Division - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		Hørsholm-Usserød

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.7	3.75
	2.00	3.80	3.03	Watch
	1.78	4.09	3.78
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	3.9 ↑ (3.8)	3.7 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
51.6%

Draw
23.6%

Hørsholm-Usserød
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holbæk's performance.

Hørsholm-Usserød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hørsholm-Usserød might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Holbæk - Hørsholm Usserød Predictions

Users Predictions: Holbæk will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holbæk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, ⚽,
66', 3 - 3, ⚽,
77', 3 - 4, ⚽,
88', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ))

Holbæk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hørsholm-Usserød is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Holbæk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holbæk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
25.10.25	BK Frem - Holbæk	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Odder - Holbæk	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Holbæk - Vejgaard	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Næsby - Holbæk	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Holbæk - Odder	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTLT
- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
25.10.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Odder	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	BK Frem - Hørsholm-Usserød	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Sundby	4:3 ✺
04.10.25	Vanløse - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - BK Frem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
06.09.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	0:4

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