The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Holbæk 47.7%
Draw 24.7%
Næsby 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
23.9%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
23.1%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Holbæk - Næsby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Næsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Holbæk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Holbæk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Holbaek
10
7
1
2
26:18
8
22
4
Naesby
10
5
2
3
20:14
6
17
Last Results with these Odds
Holbæk - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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