Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 16

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Whites Hill Reserve (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Holland Park Hawks		Redlands United

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.75	1.98
	2.78	3.85	2.05
	2.98	4.19	2
	2.72	4.33	2.09	Watch
	2.95	4.1	1.96
	2.94	3.92	1.97
	2.8	4.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.08)	4.03 ↑ (4)	2.01 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holland Park Hawks
31.9%

Draw
22.6%

Redlands United
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

22.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holland Park Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holland Park Hawks's form might have worsened.

Redlands United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Redlands United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holland Park Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holland Park Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redlands United than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Redlands United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Redlands may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holland Park Hawks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 2:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Holland Park Hawks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holland Park Hawks
Australian Queensland Premier League
23.06.26	Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Holland Park Hawks - St. George Willawong	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Robina City - Holland Park Hawks	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Broadbeach United - Holland Park Hawks	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Holland Park Hawks - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW
- Redlands United
Australian Queensland Premier League
20.06.26	Redlands United - Ipswich FC	5:0 ✺
16.06.26	Redlands United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:4 ✺
07.06.26	St. George Willawong - Redlands United	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	Broadbeach United - Redlands United	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Redlands United - Brisbane Strikers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
20.03.26	Redlands United - Holland Park Hawks	3:2
03.06.25	Redlands United - Holland Park Hawks	4:3
21.02.25	Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United	1:4

Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide