Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 15

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Bnei Eilat

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	6.75
	1.34	4.81	7.54
	1.35	4.6	7.1
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.64)	4.75 ↑ (3.74)	7.22 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
68.3%

Draw
19.1%

Bnei Eilat
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holon Yermiyahu's performance.

Bnei Eilat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bnei Eilat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holon Yermiyahu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bnei Eilat than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bnei Eilat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Holon Yermiyahu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bnei Eilat is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holon Yermiyahu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holon Yermiyahu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Holon Yermiyahu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
29.12.22	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
16.12.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.12.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Herzliya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT
- Bnei Eilat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.12.22	Bnei Eilat - Ironi Kuseife	1:3 ✺
22.12.22	Bnei Eilat - Ironi Modiin	3:2 ✺
16.12.22	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla - Bnei Eilat	5:0 ✺
12.12.22	Bnei Eilat - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1 ✺
11.11.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Bnei Eilat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
28.01.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Bnei Eilat	1:1

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