Match Info

State Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.33	2.11	Watch
	3.26	3.2	2.1
	3.35	3.25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	3.25 (3.25)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
27.9%

Draw
28.1%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Nof HaGalil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Talio R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Holon Yermiyahu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.10.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Yavne	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Beitar Yavne - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4 ✺
05.10.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Shikun HaMizrah - Holon Yermiyahu	0:5 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTTL

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