Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.34
	2.66	3.38	2.28
	2.75	3.5	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.21)	3.46 ↓ (3.79)	2.32 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
33.8%

Draw
26.6%

Oldenburg
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

24.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel II's performance.

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Winter J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Boccaccio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Otto N. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Brand R. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Demaj D. ⚽,
79', 2 - 4, Harres P. ⚽,
83', Koster L. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 2.

Holstein Kiel II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldenburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holstein Kiel II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oldenburg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
22.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Holstein Kiel II	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Kickers Emden	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Phönix Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Teutonia Ottensen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLL
- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
22.03.25	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	St. Pauli II - Oldenburg	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Oldenburg - Todesfelde	0:0 ✺
27.02.25	Werder Bremen II - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Meppen - Oldenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
29.09.24	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:3
24.03.24	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:3
01.10.23	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:2
21.05.22	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	1:1
09.04.22	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:2
17.11.19	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	2:1
07.08.19	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	1:1

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