Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 7

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Homberg		Hilden

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.07	3.62	2.11
	2.95	3.6	2.06
	3	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
30.4%

Draw
25.4%

Hilden
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

23.8%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hilden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hilden than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homberg won 1.

Homberg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hilden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hilden will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Homberg won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.09.23	Straelen - Homberg	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Homberg - Kleve	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	TVD Velbert - Homberg	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Homberg - St Tonis	4:2 ✺
20.08.23	Hamborn - Homberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT
- VfB 03 Hilden
German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.09.23	Hilden - Büderich	3:2 ✺
10.09.23	Schonnebeck - Hilden	2:2 ✺
01.09.23	Hilden - Germania Ratingen	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mulheimer FC 97 - Hilden	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Hilden - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
14.05.23	Homberg - Hilden	1:1
06.11.22	Hilden - Homberg	3:1
28.04.19	Hilden - Homberg	0:1
20.10.18	Homberg - Hilden	3:3
22.10.17	Hilden - Homberg	2:1
18.12.16	Homberg - Hilden	1:1
17.08.16	Hilden - Homberg	2:2

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