The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Homburg 44.2%
Draw 24.1%
Freiburg II 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
23.1%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
23.3%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Homburg - Freiburg II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ehrhart M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Jorg N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, Rudlin F. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Homburg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Homburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Homburg has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:25 (averaging 1.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Homburg against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.5:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Freiburg II
13
5
5
3
24:18
6
20
8
FC 08 Homburg
13
5
5
3
18:17
1
20
Last Results with these Odds
Freiburg II - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
International
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