Match Info

SYRIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Homs Al Fidaa		Al-Hurriya Aleppo

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.54	3.56	5.66
	1.54	3.56	5.66
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.68	5.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)	5.71 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homs Al Fidaa
58.8%

Draw
25.4%

Al-Hurriya Aleppo
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

29.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

21.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homs Al Fidaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homs Al Fidaa's performance.

Al-Hurriya Aleppo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homs Al Fidaa than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homs Al Fidaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hurriya Aleppo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Hurriya Aleppo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Al-Wathba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Hurriya has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Al-Wathba is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Wathba won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wathba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Homs Al Fidaa SC
Syrian Premier League
08.03.24	Jableh - Homs Al Fidaa	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Tishreen - Homs Al Fidaa	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Homs Al Fidaa - Al-Jaish Damascus	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Al-Sahel Tartus - Homs Al Fidaa	0:0 ✺
09.02.24	Homs Al Fidaa - Taliya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTT
- Al-Hurriya Aleppo
Syrian Premier League
08.03.24	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al-Jaish Damascus	2:3 ✺
01.03.24	Taliya - Al-Hurriya Aleppo	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Tishreen	1:2 ✺
Syrian Cup
19.02.24	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al Shahba	1:2 penalties ✺
Syrian Premier League
16.02.24	Al-Ittihad Aleppo - Al-Hurriya Aleppo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Syrian Premier League
24.11.23	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Homs Al Fidaa	1:4
10.02.21	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Homs Al Fidaa	1:1
30.10.20	Homs Al Fidaa - Al-Hurriya Aleppo	1:1

Homs Al Fidaa - Al-Hurriya Aleppo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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