Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Honved II		Csepel

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.30	2.55
	2.28	3.5	2.45
	2.5	2.99	2.79	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.6
	2.32	3.71	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.75)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	2.6 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honved II
38.7%

Draw
26.4%

Csepel
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

24.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honved II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honved II's performance.

Csepel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Csepel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honved II than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honved II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Csepel than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Csepel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honved II - Csepel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 🟥,
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 8th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Csepel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Honved II has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Honved II against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	27:20	7	20
12	Honved II	13	3	3	7	21:23	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honved II
Hungarian NB III Southeast
11.10.26	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Honved II	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Honved II - III. Kerületi TVE	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál - Honved II	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Honved II - Ujpest II	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Honved II - Monori	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWLWT
- Csepel FC
Hungarian NB III Southeast
10.10.26	Csepel - Szegedi VSE	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Dabas - Csepel	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Csepel - Szeged II	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Vasas II - Csepel	6:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.26	Villány - Csepel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
24.05.26	Honved II - Csepel	1:3
09.11.25	Csepel - Honved II	1:2
20.10.24	Honved II - Csepel	3:0

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