Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Honved II		Csepel

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.13	3.02	3.08
	2.18	3.18	3.14	Watch
	2.1	3.32	3.08
	2.45	3.3	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honved II
41.1%

Draw
28.2%

Csepel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honved II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Csepel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Csepel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honved II than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Csepel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Csepel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honved II - Csepel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

In recent matches, Honved II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Csepel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Honved II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Honved II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Csepel	10	3	4	3	20:16	4	13
11	Honved II	10	3	2	5	18:15	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honved II
Hungarian NB III Southeast
17.05.26	Monori - Honved II	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Honved II - Tiszaföldvár	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Honved II	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Honved II - Hódmezővásárhelyi	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Honved II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLLL
- Csepel FC
Hungarian NB III Southeast
17.05.26	Csepel - Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Szegedi VSE - Csepel	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Csepel - Martfű	6:2 ✺
26.04.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - Csepel	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Csepel - Vasas II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
09.11.25	Csepel - Honved II	1:2
20.10.24	Honved II - Csepel	3:0

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