Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Hoogeveen		TEC

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.33
	1.91	3.97	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.84 ↑ (3.8)	3.36 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoogeveen
48.7%

Draw
23.9%

TEC
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

23.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

23%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoogeveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoogeveen's performance.

TEC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TEC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoogeveen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoogeveen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TEC than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TEC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hoogeveen - TEC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Hoogeveen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, TEC has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Hoogeveen
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	Scherpenzeel - Hoogeveen	3:4 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	Harkemase Boys - Hoogeveen	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.25	Hoogeveen - Velocitas 1897	6:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
30.08.25	Hoogeveen - Excelsior 31	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	HSC 21 - Hoogeveen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLW
- VV TEC
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	VV DOVO - TEC	1:0 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	TEC - VV DOVO	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	TEC - Urk	3:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.25	TEC - Poortugaal	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
30.08.25	Staphorst - TEC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL

Hoogeveen - TEC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide