Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. LIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)


	Horn		Austria Wien II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.55	4.25	4.3
	1.67	4.45	4.44
	1.65	4.2	4.65	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)	4.15 ↓ (4.37)	4.36 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
56.5%

Draw
22.3%

Austria Wien II
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

21.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horn's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien II than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austria Wien II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Horn - Austria Wien II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Horn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Austria Wien II will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horn: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horn won 1.

Horn is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Austria Wien II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Horn is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Horn won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian 2 Liga
16.04.23	Sturm Graz B - Horn	2:2 ✺
07.04.23	Horn - Lafnitz	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Admira - Horn	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Horn - Sigma Olomouc B	1:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
17.03.23	Horn - Vorwärts Steyr	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLT
- Austria Wien II
Austrian 2 Liga
15.04.23	Austria Wien II - Dornbirn	2:3 ✺
07.04.23	Floridsdorfer AC - Austria Wien II	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Austria Wien II - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Grazer AK - Austria Wien II	3:0 ✺
10.03.23	Austria Wien II - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.02.23	Austria Wien II - Horn	2:0
Austrian 2 Liga
26.08.22	Austria Wien II - Horn	1:1
18.04.22	Horn - Austria Wien II	0:1
01.10.21	Austria Wien II - Horn	1:3
24.03.21	Horn - Austria Wien II	1:4
29.09.20	Austria Wien II - Horn	1:2
21.02.20	Horn - Austria Wien II	2:2

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