Match Info

Regionalliga East - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)


	Horn		Kremser

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.39	3.33	2.46
	2.43	3.57	2.53	Watch
	2.43	3.32	2.5
	2.45	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.83)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)	2.49 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
37.2%

Draw
26.6%

Kremser
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kremser has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kremser might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kremser than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kremser could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horn - Kremser Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2).

Horn is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kremser is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kremser may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Horn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kremser	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14
11	Horn	10	3	2	5	14:15	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Horn - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.47%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Kremser - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.35%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian Regionalliga East
02.05.26	Wiener Viktoria - Horn	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Horn - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	Wiener - Horn	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Horn - Favoritner	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Sportunion Mauer - Horn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT
- Kremser SC
Austrian Regionalliga East
01.05.26	Kremser - Donaufeld Wien	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Parndorf - Kremser	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kremser - Neusiedl am See	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Kremser - Wiener Viktoria	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Kremser	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
24.10.25	Kremser - Horn	1:0
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Kremser - Horn	0:1
30.01.24	Kremser - Horn	1:5
15.07.23	Kremser - Horn	2:2
12.07.19	Horn - Kremser	2:0

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