Match Info

2. Liga - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Horn		Liefering

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.78
	4.1	3.8	1.79
	4.09	3.82	1.79	Watch
	4.25	3.8	1.78	Watch
	4.1	3.8	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.25)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
23.1%

Draw
24.7%

Liefering
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

24.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Liefering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horn than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liefering than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Horn - Liefering Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Horn will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Liefering will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liefering: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Liu S. (G) 46. Wimhofer L. 12. Karakoutis G. 27. Velimirovic D. 4. Gobara P. (C) 11. Lipczinski P. 18. Bauernfeind K. 6. Conte K. 28. Barlov D. 9. Coco L. 87. Spahic A.	1. Ozegovic B. (G) 5. Mellberg J. 19. Moswitzer M. 4. Schuster J. 40. Brandtner J. 20. Diakite G. 7. Bendra K. 11. Sahin T. 21. Lukic O. 36. Striednig M. 15. Murillo A.
Substitutes
42. Aliji E. 1. Hotop M. (G) 7. Ismailcebioglu H. 14. Karch P. 31. Metu E. 17. Nachbagauer F. 22. Owusu R.	27. Erdogan R. 47. Hussauf J. 31. Oelz V. (G) 8. Paumgartner T. 28. Traore L. 25. Zangerl J. 39. Zikovic R.
Coaches
Janeschitz T.	Beichler D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Lukic O. (Pen),
40', 0 - 1, Diakite G. ⚽, Brandtner J. (A),
45', Schuster J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spahic A. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
46', Bauernfeind K. ↓, Nachbagauer F. ↑,
46', Wimhofer L. ↓, Aliji E. ↑,
62', Lukic O. ↓, Paumgartner T. ↑,
62', Bendra K. ↓, Hussauf J. ↑,
68', Coco L. ↓, Owusu R. ↑,
71', Velimirovic D. 🟨,
76', Moswitzer M. ↓, Zikovic R. ↑,
76', Murillo A. ↓, Zangerl J. ↑,
81', Barlov D. ↓, Metu E. ↑,
84', Striednig M. ↓, Erdogan R. ↑,
88', Erdogan R. 🟨,
90+1', Gobara P. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horn won 3.

Horn is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Liefering is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Horn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liefering is a favorite.

There will not play in Horn: Milosavljevic M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Syhre A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Liefering: Brandt M. (Shoulder Injury) Neto E. (Injury) Verhounig P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Horn: Fischerauer F. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Horn won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 24:47 (average 1.2:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:20 (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian 2 Liga
30.03.25	First Vienna - Horn	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Horn - Stripfing	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Austria Lustenau - Horn	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Horn - ASK Voitsberg	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Horn - Ried	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWL
- FC Liefering
Austrian 2 Liga
28.03.25	Liefering - Floridsdorfer AC	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Sturm Graz B - Liefering	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Liefering - Ried	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bregenz - Liefering	Bregenz awarded ✺
22.02.25	Liefering - Lafnitz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
22.09.24	Liefering - Horn	0:1
23.02.24	Liefering - Horn	2:1
22.08.23	Horn - Liefering	2:1
10.03.23	Liefering - Horn	3:1
02.09.22	Horn - Liefering	3:1
22.05.22	Liefering - Horn	4:1
19.11.21	Horn - Liefering	2:3

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