Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Hornchurch Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Bulgaria	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Hornchurch		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.50
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.33	3.30	2.80
	2.56	3.52	2.72
	2.35	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.50	3.45	2.60
	2.41	3.32	2.54
	2.55	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)	3.37 (3.37)	2.64 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
37.7%

Draw
27.4%

Woking
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Hornchurch - Woking Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 12. Kizzi J. 3. Inniss R. 14. Pegrum C. 19. Ling S. 4. Powell J. 8. Wraight T. (C) 18. Weston M. 7. Walker J. 22. Edwards F. 15. Ferguson N.	22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 4. Okoli C. (C) 5. Odusina T. 6. Ogie S. 23. Akinola T. 11. Ward M. 8. Syla R. 20. Harris T. 30. Georgiou A. 10. O'Brien A. 24. Ayres J.
Substitutes
25. Bracking M. 13. Byrne R. (G) 6. Dallison T. 9. Hearn H. 24. Kelman B. 26. Rowe A. 17. Yearwood A.	16. Akinola T. 2. Asare Z. 18. Dulson L. 25. Forster-Caskey J. 21. Putman J. 13. Ross C. (G) 26. Turner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Wraight T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Syla R. 🟨,
62', Ferguson N. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
62', Ayres J. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
72', Pegrum C. ↓, Hearn H. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Rowe A. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
84', Akinola T. ↓, Forster-Caskey J. ↑,
84', Odusina T. ↓, Putman J. ↑,
87', Weston M. ↓, Bracking M. ↑,
87', Walker J. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
90+2', Hearn H. 🟨,
90+2', Ogie S. 🟨,

Preview

Hornchurch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Woking is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Woking has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League
22.08.26	Carlisle United - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Hornchurch - Norwich City U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Barrow - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Hornchurch - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWL
- Woking
English National League
22.08.26	Woking - Fylde	3:2 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Woking - West Bromwich Albion U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Gateshead - Woking	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Woking - Sutton United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Woking - Reading	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

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