The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Horsens 27%
Draw 26%
Randers FC 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
27.8%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
27.6%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horsens's form might have worsened.
Randers FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Randers FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Randers FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.5%
24.1%
60.3%
Horsens - Randers FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). Randers will win (votes: 35 - 60.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 24.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Randers: 47.7% – 72.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group)).
Horsens has the most likely position - 10 (28.89%), has project points - 38, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Randers has the most likely position - 6 (15.73%), has project points - 46, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality35, small importance23, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsens won 1.
Recent matches Horsens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Randers is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Horsens: Gomez J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Randers: Andersson M.
(Injury)
Last 24 head-to-head matches Horsens won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Horsens won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.