Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Black L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Usa	NWSL+


	Houston Dash		Denver Summit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.2	2.28	Watch
	2.73	3.52	2.35
	2.54	3.21	2.74	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.25
	2.89	3.46	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.28)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	2.38 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dash
33.8%

Draw
27.7%

Denver Summit
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dash's form might have worsened.

Denver Summit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denver Summit's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dash, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Summit than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Summit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Houston Dash - Denver Summit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campbell J. (C) 15. Patterson A. 14. Nielsen P. K. 10. Berkely M. 4. Klenke L. 30. Ullmark L. 19. Graham M. 24. Colaprico D. 22. Rader K. 9. Larisey C. 23. Faasse K.	1. Smith A. (G) 6. Sonis J. (C) 23. Gaetino E. 3. Kurtz K. 4. Means N. 24. Sheehan D. 5. Lynch D. 7. Oke A. 26. Flint N. 9. Ryan Y. 25. Kossler M.
Substitutes
27. Boattin L. 6. Bright M. 2. Chapman A. 40. Delisle C. (G) 7. Duljan E. 11. Ekic E. 18. Hardin C. 17. Puntigam S. 13. Schmidt S.	11. Brazier A. 79. Garcia N. 14. McCormack Y. 21. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 16. Pickett C. 8. Regan E. 2. Reid M. 33. Thomas O. 18. Yamamoto Y.
Coaches
Gautrat F.	Cushing N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Sonis J. ⚽, Ryan Y. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Flint N. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Graham M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Larisey C. ↓, Hardin C. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Sheehan D. ⚽, Oke A. (A),
51', Colaprico D. 🟨,
59', Oke A. ↓, McCormack Y. ↑,
60', Means N. ↓, Pickett C. ↑,
62', Colaprico D. ↓, Puntigam S. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Sonis J. ⚽, Ryan Y. (A),
74', Ullmark L. 🟨,
78', Klenke L. ↓, Boattin L. ↑,
78', Ullmark L. ↓, Ekic E. ↑,
82', Kossler M. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
84', Faasse K. ↓, Bright M. ↑,
90', Flint N. ↓, Regan E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Recent form of Houston Dash has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Denver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Houston Dash may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Denver Summit W	27	10	8	9	45:37	8	38
12	Houston Dash W	27	8	6	13	34:39	-5	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dash
NWSL
06.05.26	Utah Royals - Houston Dash	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Houston Dash - Seattle Reign	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Houston Dash - Racing Louisville	4:3 ✺
27.03.26	Angel City - Houston Dash	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Denver Summit
NWSL
03.05.26	Boston Legacy - Denver Summit	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Denver Summit - San Diego Wave	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Seattle Reign - Denver Summit	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Denver Summit - Washington Spirit	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	NJ NY Gotham - Denver Summit	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LLTTW

Houston Dash - Denver Summit: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide