Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 5

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Houtvenne		Mandel United

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	2.08	3.35	2.90
	2.09	3.61	3.10
	1.96	3.69	3.26	Watch
	2.06	3.55	3.05
	1.96	3.69	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houtvenne
45.3%

Draw
25.7%

Mandel United
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houtvenne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mandel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houtvenne than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mandel United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Houtvenne - Mandel United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League and 6th).

Houtvenne has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mandel United has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Houtvenne holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Houtvenne	9	7	1	1	21:9	12	22
2	Mandel United	9	6	1	2	15:6	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Houtvenne
Belgian Cup
26.09.26	Lokeren - Houtvenne	5:0 ✺
Belgian National Division 1 VV
20.09.26	Zelzate - Houtvenne	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	Houtvenne - Dessel Sport	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belisia Bilzen - Houtvenne	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Houtvenne - Leuven B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW
- Mandel United
Belgian Cup
26.09.26	Mandel United - Hasselt	1:3 ✺
Belgian National Division 1 VV
19.09.26	Mandel United - Hoogstraten	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	SK Roeselare - Mandel United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Mandel United - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Harelbeke - Mandel United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLTW

Houtvenne - Mandel United