Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion SK Hranice (Hranice - CH)


	Hranice		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.55
	5.9	4.45	1.39
	6.43	4.59	1.41
	6.79	4.5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (3.54)	4.39 ↑ (3.7)	1.43 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hranice
15.4%

Draw
20.8%

Fotbal Třinec
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

24.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hranice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hranice's form might have worsened.

Fotbal Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fotbal Třinec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hranice than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hranice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fotbal Třinec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hranice - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tomecka J. (G) 14. Cervenka P. 7. Ciku E. 18. Coufal J. 2. Gabris S. 10. Jasensky A. 11. Kiska J. 16. Kolacek D. 6. Kundrat R. (C) 23. Vymetalik M. 20. Zdrazil L.	1. Murin R. (G) 16. Agbo C. 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 26. Cienciala L. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 23. Krakovcik M. 15. Vlachovsky M. 12. Zinhasovic N.
Substitutes
5. Cverna V. 24. Kubica D. (G) 8. Kuchar M. 3. Lorenc S. 12. Olawunmi L. 4. Vavrik P.	22. Adamuska J. (G) 20. Kowalczyk T. 21. Machuca O. 11. Malek M. 6. Nguyen A. 24. Omasta T. 7. Slamena P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Brak V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Bolf J. ↓, Malek M. ↑,
63', Charles S. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
63', Zdrazil L. ↓, Olawunmi L. ↑,
69', Gabris S. 🟨,
70', Gabris S. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
74', Zinhasovic N. ↓, Machuca O. ↑,
74', Ciku E. ↓, Kuchar M. ↑,
80', Kiska J. ↓, Cverna V. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Nguyen A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent performances by Hranice have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Třinec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Třinec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hranice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Hranice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Hranice
Czech MSFL
30.08.25	Blansko - Hranice	2:2 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.25	Hranice - Zlín	0:5 ✺
Czech MSFL
22.08.25	Hranice - Vitkovice	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Frýdek-Místek - Hranice	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
13.08.25	Sokol Tasovice - Hranice	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
30.08.25	Fotbal Třinec - Karviná B	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
26.08.25	Fotbal Třinec - Prostějov	3:2 penalties ✺
Czech MSFL
22.08.25	Hlučín - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Fotbal Třinec - Zlín B	6:2 ✺
Czech Cup
13.08.25	Vsetín - Fotbal Třinec	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
11.05.24	Fotbal Třinec - Hranice	5:2
06.10.23	Hranice - Fotbal Třinec	2:1

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