Match Info

Serie D - Round 3

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Humaitá		Independência

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.51
	4.59	4.38	1.61
	5.03	4.74	1.47	Watch
	5.73	4.06	1.54
	8.4	4.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (3.14)	4.42 ↑ (3.28)	1.5 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Humaitá
16.4%

Draw
21.2%

Independência
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humaitá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Humaitá's form might have worsened.

Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independência's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Humaitá - Independência Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independência (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Independência will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Douglas Martins ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Douglas Martins ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Ancelmo ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).

Independência's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Humaitá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independência has had a series of away games.

In this match, Independência is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Humaitá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Humaitá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Humaitá
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Manaus - Humaitá	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Humaitá - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
11.03.25	Humaitá - Independência	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Humaitá - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
22.02.25	Humaitá - Rio Branco FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW
- Independência FC
Brazilian Serie D
27.04.25	Independência - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Manauara - Independência	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
29.03.25	Galvez - Independência	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Senador Guiomard - Independência	0:1 penalties ✺
11.03.25	Humaitá - Independência	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
11.03.25	Humaitá - Independência	0:0
27.04.23	Humaitá - Independência	4:2

Humaitá - Independência: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide