The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Humpolec 22.5%
Draw 25.5%
Spartak Velká Bíteš 52%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.3%
24.1%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
24%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Humpolec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Humpolec's form might have worsened.
Spartak Velká Bíteš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Velká Bíteš's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Humpolec than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Humpolec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Velká Bíteš than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Velká Bíteš, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humpolec won 2.
In recent outings, Humpolec has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Velká Bíteš is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Humpolec has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Velká Bíteš has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Velká Bíteš holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Humpolec has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:11 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Humpolec against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).