Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Vapenvallen (Huskvarna)


	Husqvarna		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	4.7	4	1.62
	4.35	4.38	1.64
	4.63	4.16	1.64	Watch
	4.84	3.88	1.62	Watch
	4.7	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (2.8)	3.99 ↑ (3.35)	1.65 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Husqvarna
20.5%

Draw
23.2%

Jönköpings Södra
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Husqvarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Husqvarna's form might have worsened.

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jönköpings Södra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Husqvarna than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Husqvarna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jönköpings Södra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Husqvarna - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jönköping (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pihlblad L. (G) 12. Adjei S. 2. Carebo F. 27. Jankulovski A. 21. Khoshaba A. 15. Lindstrom Leister A. (C) 4. Omerovic B. 6. Petrovic A. 9. Rubin A. 7. Sernelius N. 28. Svedin S.	1. Eriksson A. (G) 17. Almstrom O. 12. Benatallah F. 6. Crona S. (C) 2. Eek L. 7. Ellbring I. 15. Eriksson A. 4. Karlsson A. 11. Kiwarkis A. 10. Kozica D. 9. Lyck L.
Substitutes
20. Arab A. 30. Freijd P. 19. Galabri K. 5. Gecer E. 23. Jibodu A. 16. Johansson E. 18. Rubendahl W.	27. Edgren A. 16. Israelsson H. 3. Markovski D. 28. Shamoun J. 19. Sipos M. 30. Svensson S. (G) 8. Tannus B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Petrovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Crona S. 🟨,
57', Khoshaba A. ↓, Jibodu A. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Lyck L. ⚽,
67', Petrovic A. ↓, Galabri K. ↑,
67', Svedin S. ↓, Rubendahl W. ↑,
68', Galabri K. 🟨,
72', Almstrom O. 🟨,
84', Benatallah F. ↓, Shamoun J. ↑,
84', Ellbring I. ↓, Tannus B. ↑,
87', Jankulovski A. ↓, Arab A. ↑,
89', Rubin A. 🟨,
90+2', Lyck L. ↓, Israelsson H. ↑,
90+8', Kiwarkis A. ↓, Markovski D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Husqvarna won 0.

Husqvarna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jönköping is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Husqvarna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jönköping has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jönköping is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Husqvarna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Husqvarna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Husqvarna FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
16.05.25	IFK Skövde - Husqvarna	5:0 ✺
10.05.25	Husqvarna - Eskilsminne	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	AFC Malmö - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Husqvarna - Hässleholm	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Ljungskile - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.05.25	Jönköpings Södra - Rosengård 1917	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Jönköpings Södra - Olympic	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Skövde AIK - Jönköpings Södra	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Jönköpings Södra - Norrby	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Jönköpings Södra - Eskilsminne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.01.17	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	2:0
24.01.15	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	2:2
Swedish Superettan
29.08.14	Husqvarna - Jönköpings Södra	0:2
03.05.14	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	1:0
Club Friendly
25.01.14	Husqvarna - Jönköpings Södra	0:1
26.01.13	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	1:1

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