Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Hussein Dey		Mostaganem

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.25
	2.56	3.4	2.15
	2.59	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	3.43 ↓ (3.63)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hussein Dey
34.6%

Draw
25.9%

Mostaganem
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hussein Dey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mostaganem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hussein Dey than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Daibeche O. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Bouguettaya A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Abdat M. 🟥,
74', 0 - 3, Berrabah M. A. ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Hussein Dey in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mostaganem is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hussein Dey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hussein Dey won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NA Hussein Dey
Algerian Cup
29.03.24	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	1:2 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
23.03.24	SKAF Khemis Miliana - Hussein Dey	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hussein Dey - JSM Tiaret	3:1 ✺
Algerian Cup
08.03.24	Hussein Dey - MO Constantine	1:0 ET ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
04.03.24	Hussein Dey - Olympique de Médéa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 WTWWW
- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Cup
29.03.24	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	1:2 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
23.03.24	Mostaganem - Koléa	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Témouchent - Mostaganem	0:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
08.03.24	Tighennif - Mostaganem	1:3 ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
02.03.24	Mostaganem - WA Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Cup
29.03.24	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	1:2 penalties
Algerian Ligue 2
25.11.23	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	4:0
31.03.23	Mostaganem - Hussein Dey	1:0
19.11.22	Hussein Dey - Mostaganem	1:2

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