Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 18

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Bravida Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Häcken		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	3.3	4	1.95	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	3.25	3.9	2.02	Watch
	3.47	3.99	2.02
	2.89	3.74	2.22	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
	3.16	3.88	2.09	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.66)	3.76 ↑ (3.58)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
30.7%

Draw
25.1%

Elfsborg
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elfsborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elfsborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	5.3%	78.9%

Häcken - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elfsborg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 39. Brusberg I. 44. Hilvenius H. 13. Jansson S. 11. Lindberg J. 31. Madsen L. 7. Ngabo S. 29. Nioule S. 10. Rygaard M. 23. Samuelsson O. 20. Svanback A.	1. Eriksson S. (G) 29. Buhari I. 15. Hedlund S. 24. Ihler F. 13. Larsson J. (C) 21. Ostman L. 11. Silverholt T. 5. Wenderson 6. Wikstrom R. 2. Yegbe T. 27. Zeneli B.
Substitutes
8. Andersen S. 19. Dembe J. 17. Engdahl B. 25. Kondo S. 24. Layouni A. 1. Linde A. (G) 21. Lundkvist A. 28. Ohman F. 22. Zecevic N.	28. Aronsson F. 17. Frick P. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 8. Holmen S. 23. Hult N. 18. Magnusson J. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 9. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Dembe J. 🟨,
59', Larsson J. ↓, Hult N. ↑,
59', Ostman L. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
60', Brusberg I. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
61', Rygaard M. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
68', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
70', Madsen L. ↓, Lundkvist A. ↑,
72', Ihler F. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
73', Silverholt T. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Frick P. (A),
79', Hult N. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
83', Jansson S. ↓, Ohman F. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Zeneli A. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Dembe J. ⚽, Layouni A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Häcken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Inactive) Dahbo P. (Yellow Cards) Gustafson S. (Red Card) Hammar J. (Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Leach S. (Yellow Cards) Lode M. (Red Card) Vaisanen L. (Injury) Wembangomo B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:35. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Häcken - Anderlecht	3:1 penalties ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	Häcken - Djurgården	1:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Anderlecht - Häcken	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Halmstad - Häcken	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Häcken - Spartak Trnava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTT
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.07.25	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	4:3 ✺
19.07.25	Djurgården - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Värnamo - Elfsborg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.25	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2
Club Friendly
06.12.24	Elfsborg - Häcken	5:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.24	Elfsborg - Häcken	1:3
14.07.24	Häcken - Elfsborg	3:5
Club Friendly
16.03.24	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.07.23	Häcken - Elfsborg	3:1
03.04.23	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2

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