Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Hércules		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.74	3.25	4.4
	1.7	3.36	5.62
	1.71	3.32	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	5.02 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
53.6%

Draw
28.2%

El Ejido
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

18.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Ejido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hércules - El Ejido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Recent matches Hércules is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Ejido is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.03.22	Levante B - Hércules	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Hércules - Pulpileño	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Socuéllamos - Hércules	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Hércules - Alzira	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Racing Cartagena MM - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWT
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.03.22	El Ejido - Eldense	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	La Nucía - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	El Ejido - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	El Ejido - Levante B	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Pulpileño - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.10.21	El Ejido - Hércules	0:1

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