Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Hødd 2		Raufoss 2

	1	X	2
	1.07	8.75	26
	1.03	14.91	23.06
	1.08	9	21
	1.02	16	24
	1.06	9	29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.63)	11.53 ↑ (4.2)	24.61 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd 2
88.2%

Draw
8%

Raufoss 2
3.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

19.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hødd 2's performance.

Raufoss 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raufoss 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd 2 than the current prediction. (-37.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hødd 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss 2 than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raufoss 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Hødd 2 - Raufoss 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hødd 2 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Raufoss 2 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hødd 2: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Hødd 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raufoss 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hødd 2 is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hødd 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hødd 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hødd 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
17.06.23	Elverum - Hødd 2	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Hødd 2 - Hønefoss	0:4 ✺
04.06.23	HamKam 2 - Hødd 2	3:4 ✺
27.05.23	Hødd 2 - Molde 2	1:4 ✺
14.05.23	Eidsvold Turn - Hødd 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL
- Raufoss 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
17.06.23	Raufoss 2 - Funnefoss Vormsund	3:5 ✺
11.06.23	Førde - Raufoss 2	10:0 ✺
03.06.23	Raufoss 2 - Volda	0:3 ✺
27.05.23	Florø - Raufoss 2	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Raufoss 2 - Sogndal 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
02.10.22	Raufoss 2 - Hødd 2	2:0
21.09.22	Hødd 2 - Raufoss 2	3:0

Hødd 2 - Raufoss 2