Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday


	IFK Östersunds		Kiruna

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.8	5.5
	1.38	5	6
	1.41	4.59	5.85
	1.41	4.39	5.85
	1.3	4.75	6.5
	1.34	4.85	6.92
	1.38	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.93)	4.77 ↑ (4)	6.09 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
66.1%

Draw
19%

Kiruna
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

22.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

21.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Östersunds's performance.

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiruna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Östersunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiruna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

IFK Östersunds - Kiruna Predictions

Users Predictions: IFK Östersunds will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Boden A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Arhin F. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Arhin F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation)).

IFK Östersunds is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kiruna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kiruna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match IFK Östersunds is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches IFK Östersunds won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Östersunds won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.06.24	Frösö - IFK Östersunds	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Täfteå	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	1:6 ✺
18.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Boden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWWL
- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
15.06.24	Kiruna - Ytterhogdal	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Lucksta - Kiruna	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Kiruna - Gottne	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Luleå - Kiruna	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	Kiruna - Skellefteå FF	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.08.23	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	0:1
30.04.23	Kiruna - IFK Östersunds	1:3
13.08.22	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	1:0
23.04.22	Kiruna - IFK Östersunds	2:1

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