Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	IFK Malmö		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	3.6	3.55	1.85
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.36	3.52	2.07
	3.32	3.48	1.96
	3.2	3.45	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)	3.47 ↑ (3)	1.97 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Malmö
27.4%

Draw
26.3%

Vänersborgs IF
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vänersborgs IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vänersborgs IF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Malmö than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

IFK Malmö - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

IFK Malmö is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vänersborgs IF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vänersborgs IF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches IFK Malmö won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.09.22	Åtvidaberg - IFK Malmö	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	IFK Malmö - Trollhättan	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Oddevold - IFK Malmö	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	IFK Malmö - Tvååker	2:2 ✺
22.08.22	Ängelholm - IFK Malmö	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTLTT
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
18.09.22	Falkenberg - Vänersborgs IF	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Vänersborgs IF - Åtvidaberg	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Vänersborgs IF - Lindome	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Lunds - Vänersborgs IF	2:0 ✺
19.08.22	Tvååker - Vänersborgs IF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.05.22	Vänersborgs IF - IFK Malmö	1:2
30.10.21	IFK Malmö - Vänersborgs IF	1:1
08.05.21	Vänersborgs IF - IFK Malmö	0:0

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