Match Info

Nadeshiko League Women - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	IGA Kunoichi		VONDS Ichihara

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8
	1.33	4.55	7.3
	1.3	4.86	7.82
	1.33	4.72	7.87	Watch
	1.29	4.6	9
	1.27	4.95	8.9
	1.52	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.52)	4.63 ↑ (3.95)	7.76 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IGA Kunoichi
68.5%

Draw
19.7%

VONDS Ichihara
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IGA Kunoichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IGA Kunoichi's performance.

VONDS Ichihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VONDS Ichihara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IGA Kunoichi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IGA Kunoichi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VONDS Ichihara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

IGA Kunoichi - VONDS Ichihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Kunoichi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

VONDS Ichihara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

VONDS Ichihara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kunoichi is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kunoichi W	20	10	5	5	28:19	9	35
12	Vonds I. W	20	3	2	15	13:42	-29	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IGA FC Kunoichi
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
03.05.26	IGA Kunoichi - Okayama Yunogo Belle	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Ehime - IGA Kunoichi	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	IGA Kunoichi - Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	IGA Kunoichi - Setagaya Sfida	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Viamaterras Miyazaki - IGA Kunoichi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- VONDS Ichihara Women
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
09.05.26	VONDS Ichihara - Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls	0:4 ✺
03.05.26	Setagaya Sfida - VONDS Ichihara	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - VONDS Ichihara	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	VONDS Ichihara - Ehime	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nippon Sport Science University - VONDS Ichihara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

IGA Kunoichi - VONDS Ichihara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide