Match Info

NB III - Southeast - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hevizi uti Stadion (Budapest)


	III. Kerületi TVE		Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.65	1.85
	3.39	3.92	1.84	Watch
	3.72	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

III. Kerületi TVE
26.1%

Draw
24.3%

Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

23.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.2%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

III. Kerületi TVE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for III. Kerületi TVE than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

III. Kerületi TVE - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Lencses B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Wirth D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, ⚽,
63', 🟥,
66', 🟥,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2).

III. Kerületi TVE is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ESMTK Budapest is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

ESMTK Budapest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ESMTK Budapest might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, III. Kerületi TVE won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, III. Kerületi TVE won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	III. Keruleti TVE	10	8	0	2	15:4	11	24
3	ESMTK Budapest	10	6	3	1	27:10	17	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- III. Kerületi TVE
Hungarian NB III Southeast
10.05.26	BKV Előre - III. Kerületi TVE	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Honved II	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál - III. Kerületi TVE	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	III. Kerületi TVE - Szegedi VSE	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Martfű - III. Kerületi TVE	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB III Southeast
10.05.26	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Hódmezővásárhelyi	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	BKV Előre - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Honved II	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Szegedi VSE	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Martfű - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southeast
02.11.25	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - III. Kerületi TVE	1:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - III. Kerületi TVE	1:0
10.02.24	III. Kerületi TVE - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	0:0
15.07.23	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - III. Kerületi TVE	4:1
28.01.23	III. Kerületi TVE - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest	1:2

III. Kerületi TVE - Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide