Match Info

Hungarian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Hevizi uti Stadion (Budapest)


	III. Kerületi TVE		Soroksár

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.25	1.55
	5.19	3.70	1.63	Watch
	5.21	4.1	1.55
	4.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (5.71)	4.01 ↓ (4.4)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

III. Kerületi TVE
18.6%

Draw
23%

Soroksár
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.9%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

20.1%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

III. Kerületi TVE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Soroksár has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for III. Kerületi TVE than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soroksár than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Soroksár could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

III. Kerületi TVE - Soroksár Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Hajagos T. (G) 30. Buda P. 9. Cseszneki R. 5. Fodor F. 15. Gosztola A. 7. Hegyi P. 20. Lencses B. 17. Palvolgyi P. 74. Szucs A. 21. Timari N. 22. Wirth D.	33. Ori L. (G) 27. Bagi A. 13. Csemer G. 17. Gagyor D. 18. Konczey M. 23. Kroner M. 65. Kundrak N. 19. Lukacs D. 6. Nemeth E. 9. Toth G. 8. Vass A.
Substitutes
88. Bekker R. 55. Bencze M. 16. Borsay M. 13. Erdei G. 14. Farkas B. 1. Jakus F. 12. Polonyi B. 25. Schildkraut K. 39. Simon S. 8. Szabo M. 27. Zajtai S.	1. Apro M. (G) 12. Bogdan B. 22. Bolla G. 10. Galfi Z. 31. Holczer A. (G) 66. Horvath K. 11. Kobol K. 7. Korozman K. 20. Lovrencsics B. 30. William R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
69', 🟥,
69', 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Soroksár may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Soroksár is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, III. Kerületi TVE won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, III. Kerületi TVE won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- III. Kerületi TVE
Hungarian NB III Southeast
26.10.25	III. Kerületi TVE - BKV Előre	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Honved II - III. Kerületi TVE	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	III. Kerületi TVE - Várfürdő-Gyulai Termál	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Szegedi VSE - III. Kerületi TVE	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Dunaharaszti MTK - III. Kerületi TVE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLT
- Soroksár
Hungarian NB II
19.10.25	Soroksár - Videoton	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	BVSC-Zugló - Soroksár	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Soroksár - Vasas	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Szeged 2011 - Soroksár	0:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.25	Tatabánya - Soroksár	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.23	Soroksár - III. Kerületi TVE	5:1
16.07.22	Soroksár - III. Kerületi TVE	1:1
Hungarian NB II
09.03.22	III. Kerületi TVE - Soroksár	2:2
15.09.21	Soroksár - III. Kerületi TVE	2:1
Hungarian Cup
20.09.17	III. Kerületi TVE - Soroksár	1:3 ET

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