Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 14

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Referee: El Maataoui A. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia


	IR Tanger		Union de Touarga

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.38	2.92	3.05
	2.42	3.05	3.25
	2.38	2.81	3.22	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.35	2.79	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IR Tanger
38.8%

Draw
31.8%

Union de Touarga
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

33%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IR Tanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Union de Touarga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Tanger than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

IR Tanger - Union de Touarga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Ouaad A. (G) 8. Abdoul Mutalib F. 10. El Arouch M. 49. El Moussaoui L. 97. Gaddarine B. 19. Ghabra J. 22. Kiani Z. 28. Lagrouch K. 23. Lamrabat A. 17. Maali A. 4. Saoud M. (C)	55. El Houasli A. (G) 33. Ait Lamkadem R. (C) 41. Ashabi M. 9. Bammou Y. 7. Dahmani Y. 10. Essahel M. 23. Forsy A. 29. Fouzair M. 25. Majni T. 31. Rhailouf W. 35. Zahouani F.
Substitutes
99. Bakkali Z. 12. Barcola M. (G) 16. Chentouf A. 14. El Bahja H. 20. El Bellali E. 21. El Moudene H. 36. Karouat S. 75. Kote M. 61. Tali A.	1. Asmama R. (G) 16. Bousqal H. 4. El Khalej T. 30. Es Sahel M. 13. Kajai Y. 70. Lotfi S. 19. Moustaghfir N. 17. Zamrat S. 39. Zraa Y.
Coaches
Mel P.	Zamrat A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ghabra J. ⚽, Maali A. (A),
33', Rhailouf W. 🟨,
41', Maali A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rhailouf W. ↓, Zraa Y. ↑,
55', Zahouani F. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Zraa Y. ⚽, Dahmani Y. (A),
64', El Moussaoui L. ↓, El Bahja H. ↑,
65', Bammou Y. ↓, Moustaghfir N. ↑,
68', Abdoul Mutalib F. ↓, El Moudene H. ↑,
73', El Moudene H. 🟨,
75', Fouzair M. ↓, Zamrat S. ↑,
85', Saoud M. 🟨,
86', Ashabi M. 🟨,
87', Essahel M. 🟨,
90+2', Dahmani Y. ↓, Es Sahel M. ↑,
90+2', Essahel M. ↓, Lotfi S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Tanger won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, IR Tanger won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, IR Tanger won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Union Touarga	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
3	IR Tanger	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IR Tanger
Moroccan Botola
22.02.26	Raja Casablanca - IR Tanger	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	IR Tanger - Olympique Dcheira	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Renaissance Zemamra - IR Tanger	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	IR Tanger - KAC Marrakech	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Yacoub El Mansour - IR Tanger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTW
- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Botola
21.02.26	Union de Touarga - FAR Rabat	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Difaa El Jadida - Union de Touarga	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Union de Touarga - Hassania Agadir	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	CODM de Meknès - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Union de Touarga - Raja Casablanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.08.25	IR Tanger - Union de Touarga	0:0
Moroccan Botola
23.04.25	IR Tanger - Union de Touarga	0:1
29.11.24	Union de Touarga - IR Tanger	3:1
22.02.24	IR Tanger - Union de Touarga	2:1
01.10.23	Union de Touarga - IR Tanger	2:2
14.06.23	Union de Touarga - IR Tanger	2:2
14.01.23	IR Tanger - Union de Touarga	0:1

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