Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 20

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ibarra		La Cuadra-Unión Puerto

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.16	3.52
	1.9	3.35	3.68
	1.9	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.59)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)	3.56 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
47.8%

Draw
26.8%

La Cuadra-Unión Puerto
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

17.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.

La Cuadra-Unión Puerto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Cuadra-Unión Puerto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibarra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Cuadra-Unión Puerto than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ibarra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Cuadra-Unión Puerto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibarra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ibarra is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.02.24	Ibarra - Atlético Victoria	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	San Bartolomé - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Gran Tarajal - Ibarra	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ibarra - Teror	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Ibarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTLL
- La Cuadra-Unión Puerto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
04.02.24	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - Marino	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	Atlético Victoria - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	4:2 ✺
20.01.24	Santa Úrsula - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	5:1 ✺
14.01.24	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - San Bartolomé	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - Arucas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
24.09.23	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - Ibarra	1:0
28.01.23	Ibarra - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	1:0
13.11.22	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - Ibarra	1:1
11.12.19	Ibarra - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto	0:1

Ibarra - La Cuadra-Unión Puerto

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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