Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadioni Bendela (Tbilisi)


	Iberia 1999 2		Gardabani

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.92	5.16
	1.52	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.86 ↓ (3.9)	5.08 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999 2
58.6%

Draw
23.5%

Gardabani
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gardabani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gardabani than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Iberia 1999 2 - Gardabani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gogsadze G. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Chanturia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Menagarishvili A. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Gogilashvili D. ⚽,
71', 5 - 0, Gobeshia T. ⚽,
90', 6 - 0, Khechikashvili T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: ) and 9).

Iberia 1999 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gardabani has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Iberia 1999 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iberia 1999 2 is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Iberia 1999 2	22	11	8	3	34:16	18	41
13	Gardabani	22	4	4	14	18:53	-35	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999 2
Georgian Liga 3
07.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Didube - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Orbi	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	WIT Georgia - Iberia 1999 2	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Guria Lanchkhuti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWLW
- FC Gardabani
Georgian Liga 3
14.05.26	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Kolkheti Khobi - Gardabani	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Gardabani	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Betlemi Keda - Gardabani	4:1 ✺
02.04.26	Gardabani - Merani Tbilisi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLL

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